T20 World Cup 2024: Pakistan's super 8 qualification scenario after win over Canada

In a crucial encounter at the Nassau County International Cricket Stadium in New York, Pakistan revived their T20 World Cup 2024 campaign with a convincing seven-wicket victory over Canada. This win came on the heels of back-to-back losses against the co-hosts the USA and India, providing a much-needed morale boost for the team.

Pakistan's performance against Canada was marked by a solid resolve to stay in the hunt for a Super 8 berth. The victory has positioned Pakistan in third place in Group A, with two points from three matches and a net run rate of +0.191. However, the path to the Super 8 is still fraught with challenges, as only the top two teams from each group advance.

Currently, India leads Group A with four points from two games and a formidable net run rate of +1.455. The USA, co-hosts of the tournament, are in second place, also with four points from two matches but with a net run rate of +0.626. These two teams are set to face each other in New York on Wednesday, with the winner moving to six points.

For Pakistan, the road to the Super 8 requires a bit of luck and strategic wins. If Pakistan wins their final group match against Ireland set to take place on June 16, they can reach a maximum of four points. However, for Pakistan to secure a spot in the Super 8, they will need the loser of the India-USA clash also to lose their final group match, keeping them at four points.

Furthermore, if Canada wins against India in their final group match, they will also accumulate four points. However, with their current net run rate standing at -0.493, it is improbable that Canada will overtake Pakistan. Another team in contention is Ireland, who could reach four points by winning their remaining two matches. 

In scenarios where multiple teams end up with four points, net run rate will be the deciding factor. Pakistan will need to maintain or improve their net run rate to secure the second spot in Group A.

However, if India and the USA each win at least one of their remaining matches, both teams will reach six points, thereby eliminating Pakistan from contention in the Super 8 stage.

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